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PROGRAMME

   

Day 1          Day 2            Day 3

DAY 2: Thursday, 19 October 2006

08:30 - 09:00 Arrival Tea/Coffee

Guidelines for Presenters and Discussants:
Plenary: 30 minutes for presenters;
Parallel Sessions (90 minutes): 20 minutes for Presenters, 5 minutes for Discussants,
15 minutes for General Discussion

09:00 - 10:30 Parallel Session 3

Parallel Session 3A:

Measuring Poverty and Inequality in
Post-Apartheid South Afr
ica

Parallel Session 3B:
Understanding Economic Growth

Chair: Haroon Bhorat, DPRU Chair: Basil Jones, IDRC
Speaker 1: Not Separate, Not Equal: Poverty and Inequality in Post-Apartheid South Africa. Phillippe Leite, World Bank Speaker 1: Questions of Growth, Questions of Development. Simon Roberts & Seeraj Mohamed, WITS University
  Discussant: Stephen Gelb, The EDGE Institute
Speaker 2: Trends in Poverty and Inequality Since the Political Transistion. Servaas van der Berg, Ronelle Burger, Rulof Burger, Megan Louw and Derek Yu, UStell Speaker 2: Barriers To Growth and Skill-Biased Income Distribution in South Africa: Ramsey Model Growth Analysis. Jrn Ratts & Hildegunn E. Stokke, NUST, Norway
  Discussant: Johannes Fedderke, UCT
Speaker 3: The Sensitivity to Key Data Imputations of Recent Estimates of Income Poverty and Inequality in South Africa.
Cally Ardington,
 UCT
,  David Lam, UMich, Murray Leibbrandt & Matthew Welch,  UCT
Speaker 3: Official Revisions to South African National Accounts Data: Magnitudes and Implications. Corn van Walbeek,  UCT
  Discussant: James Heintz, UMass
Speaker 4: Sticking to the Facts: Official and Unofficial Stories about Poverty and Unemployment in South Africa. Charles Meth, UKZN  
   

10:30 - 11:00     Tea

11:00 - 12:30     Parallel Session 4

Parallel Session 4A:
Education for Shared Growth

Parallel Session 4B:

China, India and Africa

Chair: Natalie Labuschagne, National Treasury Chair: Alan Hirsch, The Presidency
Speaker 1: Progress through School in Urban South Africa: Evidence from Panel Data. David Lam, UMich, Cally Ardington & Murray Leibbrandt, UCT Speaker 1: The Rise of China and India - What's in it for Africa? Nicolas Pinaud, OECD
Discussant: Jeremy Seekings, UCT  
Speaker 2: Determinants of Grade 12 Pass Rates in the post-Apartheid South African Schooling System. Haroon Bhorat & Mornéé
Oosthuizen,
DPRU
Speaker 2: The Developmental Impact of China and India on Ethopia with Emphasis on Small Scale Footwear Producers. Tegegne GebreEgziabher, AAU
Discussant: Rulof Burger, UStell  
Speaker 3: ASGISA and JIPSA: Will those who Remain Unskilled also get to Share?  Alberto Behar, Nuffield College & Oxford University Speaker 3: An Evaluation of the Developing Economic Relationships between China and South Africa in the Context of Negotiations on a Trade Agreement. Nepeti Nicanor, Simon Roberts, Marian Walker, WITS University
Discussant: Reza Daniels, UCT Discussant (all three papers): Neo Chabane NUMSA

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12:30 - 13:30     Lunch

13:30 - 15:00     Parallel Session 5

Parallel Session 5A:
Health and Welfare Policy

Parallel Session 5B:
Input Prices and the Economy

Chair: Servaas van der Berg, UStell Chair: Stephen Gelb, The EDGE Institute
Speaker 1: What Evidence for Trading-off Income and Health: Disability Grants and Labour Market Outcomes for Public Sector ART Patients in the Free State. Frikkie Booysen, UOFS Speaker 1: The Economic Impact of Rising Energy Prices: A Constraint on South Africa's Growth and Poverty Reduction Opportunities. Marcel Kohler, UKZN, Westville
Discussant: Carlene van der Westhuizen, DPRU Discussant: Ethel Teljeur, NER
Speaker 2: Have Pro-Poor Health Policies Improved the Targeting of Spending and the Effective Delivery of Health Care in South Africa? Ronelle Burger, University of Nottingham & Christelle Swanepoel, UStell Speaker 2: The Impact of Oil Price Shocks on the South African Macroeconomy: History and Prospects. Jeremy Wakeford, UCT
Discussant: Phillippe Leite, World Bank Discussant: Owen Willcox, TIPS
Speaker 3: Determinants of Job Search Strategies: Evidence from the Khayelitsha/ Mitchells Plain Survey. Volker Schoer, UCT Speaker 3: Integrated Social Development as the Accelerator of Shared Growth. Charlotte du Toit, UP
Discussant: Rosa Dias, UKZN Discussant: Kalie Pauw, DPRU

15:00 - 15:30     Tea

15:30 - 17:00     Parallel Session 6

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Parallel Session 6A:
Poverty and Pro-Poor Policy

Parallel Session 6B:
Productivity Constraints

Chair: Vusi Gumede, The Presidency Chair: Stephen Hanival, TIPS
Speaker 1: Facts, Myths and Controversies: The Measurement and Analysis of Poverty and Inequality after Apartheid. Jeremy Seekings, UCT Speaker 1: Trade Liberalisation and Pro-Poor Growth in South Africa. James Thurlow, IFPRI
Discussant: Murray Leibbrandt, UCT Discussant: Rob Davies, HSRC
Speaker 2: Shifts in Non-Income Welfare in South Africa, 1993-2004. Haroon Bhorat, Carlene van der Westhuizen & Pranushka Naidoo, DPRU Speaker 2: Trade Liberalisation and Wages in South African Manufacturing. Neil Rankin & Fatima Fiandiero, WITS University    
Discussant: Kamilla Gumede, National Treasury Discussant: Paul Cichello, Loyola College
Speaker 3: Where you Live Matters: Urbanisation and Labour Market Outcomes.  Roy Havemann & Marna Kearney, National Treasury Speaker 3: Trade and Poverty Research Project in South Africa: Lessons and Policy Recommendations. Lawrence Edwards, UCT & Matthew Stern, DNA
Discussant: Reza Daniels, UCT Discussant: Helena McLeod, DFID




The Presidency
Debating Challenges of a Higher Growth Trajectory
(Please click here to listen to the Speech)