ProgrammePage2

Draft Programme

Thursday, 1 July 2004

8:00 - 9:00 Registration

PARALLEL SESSIONS 3A - 3C 9:00 - 10:45

3A: Foreign Direct Investment & Trade	3B: Exchange Rates
Malefane Determinants Of Foreign Direct Inverstment In Lesotho: Evidence From Cointegration And Error Correction Modelling Romm-Fedderke Foreign Direct Investment in South Africa: Determinants and Effects (abstract) Sichei-Harmse Determinants of South Africa-US Intra-Industry Trade in Services: Bootstrap Panel Data Analysis Soubaya Has COMESA enhanced trade and foreign direct investment since its implementation Chair: Soubaya	Bonga-Bonga Modelling the rand-dollar future spot rate Makhetha Does Long Run Purchasing Power Parity (Ppp) Hold Within The Southern African Customs Union (Sacu)? (abstact) Pretorius Modelling conditional volatility in the Rand/ Dollar Chair: Makhetha
3C: Political Economics, Crime and Power
Ayogu The structure of power and the regional allocation of public capital Du Rand The Macro-economic impact of crime on economic activity: a GMM System Panel data study Seck An Analytical Framework for the New Partnership for Africa's Development Chair: Ayogu

10.30 - 11.00 TEA

11.00 - 12.30 Keynote II: Duncan Thomas(UCLA)

Chair: Jan van Heerden

12.30 - 14.00 Lunch

PARALLEL SESSIONS 4A - 4C 14:00 - 15:45

4A: Household

4B: Labour Markets

Burger-Van der Berg-Nieftagodien Consumption Patterns of South Africa's Rising Black Middle-class: Correcting for Measurement Errors

Koster-Botha Changes in the determinants of savings in South Africa: Evidence from panel data (abstract)

Koch South African Households: Are Expenditure Patterns Almost Ideal? (abstract)

Posel-Fairburn-Lund Labour migration and households: a reconsideration of the effects of the social pension on labour supply in South Africa

Chair: Posel

Alby Unequal Rent Sharing and Wage Determination In the Formal Ivoirian Economy

Havemann Understanding the demand for labour in South Africa: A casualty of the
Pagan curve?

Hinks Why are people not working? Job Search and evidence of supply-side constraints

Jumah Immigrant remittance flows and the economy of Ghana: A non-linear analysis (abstract)

Chair: Jumah

4C: Business Cycles/Finance

15:45 - 16:00 TEA

PARALLEL SESSIONS 5A - 5C 16:00 - 17:45

5A: Macroeconomics II

5B: Health

Aziakpono Anticipated and Unanticipated Exchange rate movement, Output and Inflation in South Africa. (abstract)

Iyoha-Milton-Kouassi Mis-Specification and Causality Tests of the Relationship between the twin deficits (abstract)

Steinbach-Moolman Explaining Exchange rate risks in emerging stock markets (abstract)

Olubusoye Evidence of a variance covariance matrix sensitivity to Data Generation Method

Chair: Kouassi

Chair: Visser

5C: Development

Sharp-Liu Investigating the Efficiency of Thoroughbred Racing (abstract)

Fakiyesi Multi-Firm Level Performance and Regulatory and Industry Environment; A multivariate analysis of Nigeria's Experience, 1980 to 2002 (abstract)

Mkhabela Estimation of the increase in milk production due to the introduction of maize silage to a dairy farm in KZN

Ramcharan Debt Relief: To Give Or Not To Give?

Chair: Ramcharan