... to improve the capacity for econometric modelling on the African continent...

 

 

 Draft Programme

 

 

Thursday, 1 July 2004

8:00 - 9:00     Registration

PARALLEL SESSIONS 3A - 3C     9:00 - 10:45

 3A: Foreign Direct Investment & Trade

3B: Exchange Rates

Malefane Determinants Of Foreign Direct Inverstment In Lesotho: Evidence From Cointegration And Error Correction Modelling

Romm-Fedderke Foreign Direct Investment in South Africa: Determinants and Effects

Sichei-Harmse Determinants of South Africa-US Intra-Industry Trade in Services:
Bootstrap Panel Data Analysis

Soubaya Has COMESA enhanced trade and foreign direct investment since its implementation

Chair: Soubaya

Bonga-Bonga Modelling the rand-dollar future spot rate

Makhetha Does Long Run Purchasing Power Parity (Ppp) Hold Within The
Southern African Customs Union (Sacu)?

Pretorius Modelling conditional volatility in the Rand/ Dollar

Chair: Makhetha

3C: Political Economics, Crime and Power

Ayogu The structure of power and the regional allocation of public capital

Du Rand The Macro-economic impact of crime on economic activity: a GMM System Panel data study

Seck An Analytical Framework for the New Partnership for Africa's Development

Chair: Ayogu

 

10.30 - 11.00      TEA

 

11.00 - 12.30      Keynote II: Duncan Thomas(UCLA)

                        Chair: Jan van Heerden

12.30 - 14.00      Lunch

 

PARALLEL SESSIONS 4A - 4C      14:00 - 15:45

4A: Household

4B: Labour Markets

Burger-Van der Berg-Nieftagodien Consumption Patterns of South Africa's Rising Black
Middle-class: Correcting for Measurement Errors


Koster-Botha Changes in the determinants of savings in South Africa: Evidence from panel data

Koch South African Households: Are Expenditure Patterns Almost Ideal?

Posel-Fairburn-Lund Labour migration and households: a reconsideration of the effects of the social pension on labour supply in South Africa

Chair: Posel

Alby Unequal Rent Sharing and Wage Determination In the Formal Ivoirian Economy

Havemann Understanding the demand for labour in South Africa: A casualty of the
Pagan curve?

Hinks Why are people not working? Job Search and evidence of supply-side constraints

Jumah Immigrant remittance flows and the economy of Ghana: A non-linear analysis

Chair: Jumah

4C: Business Cycles/Finance

Botha-Greyling-Marais Identifying the financial cycle in South Africa

DuPlessis-Smit Reconsidering the business cycle and stabilisation policies in South Africa

Jordaan-Moolman Can Leading Business Cycle Indicators Predict the Direction of the South African Commercial Share Price Index?

Chair: Moolman
 

15:45 - 16:00      TEA

 

PARALLEL SESSIONS 5A - 5C     16:00 - 17:45

 5A: Macroeconomics II

5B: Health

Aziakpono Anticipated and Unanticipated Exchange rate movement, Output and Inflation in South Africa.

Iyoha-Milton-Kouassi Mis-Specification and Causality Tests of the Relationship between the twin deficits

Steinbach-Moolman Explaining Exchange rate risks in emerging stock markets

Olubusoye Evidence of a variance covariance matrix sensitivity to Data
Generation Method

Chair: Kouassi

Devasahayam-Kuruvila-Nasurudeen Health Risks Of Effluents In Rural Industrial Area Of Tamil Nadu State (India): A Probit Model Prediction Approach

Koffi Generalized Probit Analysis of the Relationship
between Health and poverty

Mahanoe Public Spending and Health Status in Lesotho

Visser-Booysen Determinants of the choice of health care facility utilised by individuals in HIV affected households
in Free State

Chair: Visser

5C: Development

Sharp-Liu Investigating the Efficiency of Thoroughbred Racing

Fakiyesi Multi-Firm Level Performance and Regulatory and Industry Environment; A multivariate analysis of Nigeria's Experience, 1980 to 2002

Mkhabela Estimation of the increase in milk production due to the introduction of maize silage to a dairy farm in KZN

Ramcharan Debt Relief: To Give Or Not To Give?

 

 

 

Chair: Ramcharan

                                                            

 

Tel: +27 21 6502733 aesinfo@commerce.uct.ac.za