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Southern African Update, Volume 18, June 2003
WTO
Telecommunications Negotiations: How Should SADC Countries Respond.The SADC
Free Trade Agreement (FTA) came into effect recently. Periodic examination
of intra-SADC trade flows is an important element of monitoring the impact
of the FTA. Ximena Gonzalez-Nunez reports.
Southern
African Update, Volume 17, March 2003
An Analysis
of Intra-SADC Trade
Telecommunications services are an important focus for most industrial
countries in the current round of trade talks in services. Initial
negotiating positions and country requests by these industrial countries all
call for full liberalisation of the sector. James Hodge
reports that SADC countries have already embarked on reform in
telecommunications but few have made commitments in the WTO and almost none
propose going as far as full liberalisation in the foreseeable future.
Southern
African Update, Volume 16, December 2002 The Doha
Agenda Challenges for SADC CountriesThere is
need to ensure that the Doha Agenda and WTO rules are useful to developing
countries. It is important that implementation problems be considered in the
context of a nation's overall development strategy. SADC countries should
insist on linking implementation of resource-intensive agreements to the
provision of development assistance. Kennedy Mbekeani argues
that WTO rules that require substantial costs should be implemented
consistently with a country's development strategy.
Southern
African Update, Volume 15, September 2002
SADC Rules of
Origin: Impediments to Regional Integration and Global CompetitivenessThe SADC
free trade agreement (FTA), which came into being at the beginning of 2000
is up for a mid term review during 2004. The agreement is characterised by
complex and restrictive rules of origin. Using references to case studies,
Frank Flatters argues that if rules of origin were used simply
to authenticate whether imports arise from fundamental economic activity in
the region, the SADC FTA could help promote regional trade and international
competitiveness of Member States. If they continue to be used for protection
or for social and economic goals that can be better achieved by other means,
the SADC FTA might at best be irrelevant for the region's development.
Southern
African Update, Volume 14, June 2002
The Impact of
the European Union-South African Free Trade AgreementFollowing
the recent Free Trade Agreement (FTA) between the European Union (EU) and
South Africa (SA), a definite concern has arisen amongst the countries
within the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA) as to the
impact of this Free Trade Agreement on their exports into these two markets.
It is feared that although many COMESA countries already have preferential
access for certain of their exports into both markets, the margin of
preference in their favour may be reduced following the new trade agreement.
In this article James Thurlow and Merle Holden aim to
determine the extent to which the concerns of COMESA are founded and whether
the European Union - South Africa Free Trade Agreement will indeed result in
significant trade diversion.
Southern
African Update, Volume 13, March 2002
Poverty Reduction: A Top Priority in SADCs Integration AgendaIn this
issue of the Update, Dr Prega Ramsamy examines the
nature and magnitude of poverty in the SADC as well as its determinants
Southern
African Update, Volume 12, December 2001
Sectoral linkages and employment in South Africa Demand for
labour by skill category can vary considerably across production activities
In this issue of the Update, Jeffrey Lewis takes a look
at the role of intersectoral linkages, and the extent to which structural
features affect employment creation potential in South Africa.
Southern
African Update, Volume 11, September 2001
The Southern African Trade Research Network (SATRN) The global
trading system is important to Southern Africa, but according to
Kennedy Mbekeani of the Botswana Institute of Development Policy
Analysis and Stephen Yeo of the Centre for Economic Policy
Research, the countries of the region do not yet participate effectively in
the workings of the system, and in particular in the operation of the World
Trade Organisation (WTO). This calls for the establishment of a trade
research network in Southern Africa.
Southern
African Update, Volume 10, June 2001
The SADC Trade Protocol: Which Way ahead?
The SADC
Trade Protocol is but one element of the strategies of member states to
benefit from the opportunities of international economic integration. Its
ultimate impact will depend on whether it assists or hinders this
integration process. In this edition of the Update, Frank
Flatters review the likely impact of the Protocol by highlighting
some of the strengths and weaknesses that have emerged in the negotiation
and implementation processes to date.
Southern
African Update, Volume 9, March 2001
The
impact of capital flows to and from South Africa
Economic
change in Southern Africa can be analysed using recently developed data and
software constructed by the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) at Purdue
University, in collaboration with numerous researchers in Africa with
financial support from USAID. In this issue of the Update,
William Masters investigates the impact of capital flows on South
Africa and on the region.
Southern
African Update, Volume 8, December 2000
Prospects for Financial Sector Reform in the Context of Regional Integration
in SADC. Rosalind Mowatt
The financial systems of most
countries in Southern Africa remain relatively underdeveloped. This issue of
the Update explores some of the ways in which regional integration
could contribute to the development and strengthening of the financial
sector in the Southern African Development region
Southern
African Update, Volume 7, September 2000
Global
Trade Analysis for Southern AfricaImplementation of the SA-EU agreement is scheduled to begin in the year
2000, but is threatened by uncertainty and conflict over its possible
effects. In order to help policymakers take account of the effects of trade
policy, EAGER/Trade researchers have compiled a database of production,
trade and policy relationships. In this issue of the Update,
William Masters reports on how this database and software can be
used to simulate the consequences of different policy options.
Southern
African Update, Volume 6, June 2000
South African trade
with the Indian Ocean Rim. Thembi Mlangeni & Dirk van Seventer
Trade flows
between SA and the IOR have been quite low over the last decade, starting
from a very low base in 1989 and increasing at a slow pace. However, IOR
exports to SA increased significantly from 1994 onwards. This issue of the
update examines in some detail, trade between South Africa and the rest of
the IOR-ARG which can be seen as an update of analysis previously undertaken
by Holden & Isemonger (1999).
Southern
African Update, Volume 5, March 2000
Revealed Comparative
Advantage in SADC Economies. Thembi Mlangeni Lawrence Edwards & Dirk van
Seventer
Comparative advantage as a concept to evaluate patterns of trade is widely
accepted and it often features in theoretical and policy discussions.
However, the measurment of a countrys comparative advantage in a particular
commodity is difficult. This issue of the Update looks at the measurement of
comparative advantage in SADC economies.
Southern
African Update, Volume 4, December 1999
Compiling and
applying a social accounting matrix for Zimbabwe: a review. Dirk van
Seventer
In order to evaluate trade between South Africa and other economies in the
Southern African region, policymakers need to take note of the economic
structure of other SADC economies. TIPS is therefore making an effort to
collect and disseminate economic structure information for countries such as
Zimbabwe, Mozambique, Zambia, Tanzania and Botswana. In this issue of the
Update we take a more detailed look at the Zimbabwean economy using a social
accounting matrix.
Southern
African Update, Volume 3, September 1999
Trade between SACU
and SADC in the 1990s. Thembi Mlangeni & Dirk van Seventer
The Department of Trade & Industry (DTI) is paying significant attention to
trade with the rest of the Southern African Development Community (SADC).
Increased trade relations within SADC, amongst other by means of trade
liberalisation, is considered to have a positive impact on regional
integration. In this issue of the Update, the focus falls on trade between
the South African Customs Union (SACU) and SADC.
Southern
African Update, Volume 2, June 1999
An Overview of Economic Structure Analysis in SADC. Rashad Cassim & Dirk van
Seventer
Economic
structures data, such as input-output tables and social accounting matrices
frequently frustrate non-economists and policymakers. However, policy
considerations are often based on these data sets. This note has two
objectives: firstly, to develop some appreciation for social accounting
matrices in a Southern African context and, secondly, to stress the
importance of why governments should invest resources in improving the
quality and reliability of these data sets.
Southern
African Update, Volume 1, March 1999
Building Capacity in Southern African Trade and Industrial Policy Analysis.
Rashad Cassim & Dirk van Seventer
In an
effort to service its target group effectively and efficiently with
appropriate data, TIPS will develop a Management Information System (MIS)
which allows for retrieval of economic, trade and industrial data via the
Internet and create capacity to undertake appropriate analysis with such
data bases. The target group in this case is the South African Department of
Trade and Industry and the wider academic research community, not only in
South and Southern Africa, but also in the rest of the world.
The main objectives of the project are to provide high quality, centralised
and standardised trade and industry data to the research and policy making
community, to train researchers and policy makers in the use of analytical
tools for the formulation and evaluation of trade and industrial policy
options and to link researchers and policy makers so that they may formulate
effective policies.
There are various modalities through which these objectives are carried out.
These are the ongoing development of the database, the development of
training programmes that link very closely to the data and networking with
other initiatives in the region. Below, we discuss each element briefly,
after which we present the broad outline of an initial set of data available
at the TIPS MIS.
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