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Johannes Fedderke

Research & Publications

Journal Articles

  1. Fedderke, J.W., 1991, On an economic limit to ethics, Theoria, 78, pp 63-91.
  2. Fedderke, J.W., 1992, Pricing Behaviour in South African Manufacturing Industry: 1945-82, The South African Journal of Economics, 60(2), pp 173-90.
  3. Klitgaard, R.E., and Fedderke, J.W., 1995, Social Integration and Disintegration: An Exploratory Analysis of Cross-Country Data, World Development 23(3), pp 357-69.
  4. Fedderke, J.W., 1997, The source of optimality in action, Cambridge Journal of Economics, 21(3), 339-63.
  5. Fedderke, J.W., 1997, Political and Social Dimensions of Economic Growth, Theoria, 89, pp 1-42.
  6. Fedderke, J.W., and Klitgaard, R.E., 1998, Growth and Social Indicators: An Exploratory Analysis, Economic Development and Cultural Change, 46(3), 455-490.
  7. Fedderke, J.W., 1999, So Weber was right all along, Theoria, 93, pp 133-59.
  8. Fedderke, J.W., De Kadt, R.H.J., and Luiz, J., 1999, Economic Growth and Social Capital, Theory and Society, 28, 709-745.
  9. Fedderke, J.W., De Kadt, R.H.J., and Luiz, J., 2000, Uneducating South Africa: the failure to address the need for human capital - a 1910-93 legacy, International Review of Education, 46(3/4): 257-281.
  10. Fedderke, J.W., De Kadt, R., and Luiz, J., 2001, Indicators of Political Liberty, Property Rights and Political Instability in South Africa, International Review of Law and Economics, 21(1), 103-34.
  11. Fedderke, J.W., De Kadt, R.H.J., and Luiz, J., 2001, Growth and Institutions: a study of the link between political institutions and economic growth in South Africa - a time series study, 1935-97, Studies in Economics and Econometrics, 25(1), 1-26.
  12. Fedderke, J.W. 2001, Growth and Institutions, Journal of International Development, 13(6), 645-70.
  13. Fedderke, J.W., and Joao, M., 2001, Price Discovery in South African Financial Markets: investigating the relationship between South Africas stock index futures market and the underlying market, Studies in Economics and Econometrics, 25(2), 1-23.
  14. Fedderke, J.W., and Joao, M., 2001, Arbitrage, Cointegration and Efficiency in Financial Markets in the Presence of Financial Crisis, South African Journal of Economics, 69(3), 366-84.
  15. Fedderke, J.W., and Vaze, P., 2001, The Nature of South Africas Trade Patterns, South African Journal of Economics, 69(3), 436-73.
  16. Fedderke, J.W., Henderson, S., Kayemba, J., Mariotti, M., and Vaze, P., 2001, Changing Factor Market Conditions in South Africa: The Capital Market a sectoral description of the period 1970-1997, Development Southern Africa, 18(4), 493-512.
  17. Fedderke, J.W., and Pirouz, F., 2002 The Role of Mining in the South African Economy, South African Journal of Economic and Management Sciences, 5(1),1-34.
  18. Fedderke, J.W., 2002, The Structure of Growth in the South African Economy: Factor Accumulation and Total Factor Productivity Growth 1970-97, South African Journal of Economics, 70(4), 611-46.
  19. Fedderke, J.W., 2002, The Virtuous Imperative: modelling capital flows in the presence of nonlinearity, Economic Modelling, 19, 445-61.
  20. Fedderke, J.W., and Liu, W., 2002, Modelling the Determinants of Capital flows and Capital Flight: with an application to South African data from 1960-95, Economic Modelling, 19, 419-44.
  21. Fedderke, J.W., and Mariotti, M., 2002, Changing Labour Market Conditions in South Africa: A Sectoral Analysis of the Period 1970-97, South African Journal of Economics, 70(5), 830-64.
  22. Fedderke, J.W., and Luiz, J., 2002, Production of Educational Output: time series evidence from socio-economically heterogenous populations - the case of South Africa 1927-93, Economic Development and Cultural Change, 51(1), 161-88.
  23. Fedderke, J.W., 2002, Technology, Human Capital, Growth and Institutional Development: Lessons from Endogenous Growth Theory, Theoria, 100, 1-26.
  24. Fedderke, J.W., De Kadt, R.H.J., and Luiz, J., 2003, A Capstone Tertiary Educational system: Inefficiency, Duplication and Inequity in South Africas Tertiary Education System, 1910-93, Cambridge Journal of Economics, 27(3), 377-400.
  25. Fedderke, J.W., 2004, Investment in Fixed Capital Stock: testing for the impact of sectoral and systemic uncertainty, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 66(2), 165-87.
  26. Fedderke, J.W., and Vaze, P., 2004, Response to Rangasamy and Harmse: Trade Liberalisation in the 1990s, South African Journal of Economics, 72(2), 408-13.
  27. Fedderke, J.W. and Schaling, E., 2005, Modeling Inflation in South Africa: A Multivariate Cointegration Analysis, South African Journal of Economics, 73(1), 79-92.
  28. Perkins, P., Fedderke, J.W., and Luiz, J.M., 2005, An Analysis of Economic Infrastructure Investment in South Africa, South African Journal of Economics, 73(2), 211-28.
  29. Fedderke, J.W. and Flamand, P., 2005, Macroeconomic News Surprises and the Rand/Dollar Exchange Rate, Studies in Economics and Econometrics, 29(3), 1-16.
  30. Fedderke, J.W., Perkins. P., and Luiz, J.M., 2006, Infrastructural Investment in Long-run Economic Growth: South Africa 1875-2001, World Development, 34(6), 1037-59.
  31. Fedderke, J.W., and Klitgaard, R.E., 2006, Economic Growth and Social Indicators: An Exploratory Analysis, Journal of Comparative Policy Analysis, 8(3), 283-303.
  32. Bogetić, ., and Fedderke, J.W., 2006, International Benchmarking of South Africa's Infrastructure Performance, Journal of Development Perspectives, 2(1), 7-31.
  33. Fedderke, J.W., and Romm, A., 2006, Growth Impact and Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment into South Africa, 1956-2003, Economic Modelling, 23, 738-60.
  34. Bogetić, ., and Fedderke, J.W., 2006, Forecasting Investment Needs in South Africas Electricity and Telecommunications Sectors, South African Journal of Economics, 74(3), 557-74.
  35. Fedderke J.W., Kularatne, C., and Mariotti, M., 2007, Mark-up Pricing in South African Industry, Journal of African Economies, 16(1), 28-69.
  36. Fedderke, J.W., and Luiz, J.M., 2007, Fractionalization and LongRun Economic Growth: Webs and Direction of Association between the Economic and the Social - South Africa as a Time Series Case Study, Applied Economics, 39, 1037-52.
  37. Fedderke, J.W. and Fitschen, A., 2006, forthcoming, The Structure of Growth in the Western Cape Manufacturing Sector, 1970 to 1996, Studies in Economics and Econometrics.
  38. Fedderke, J.W., and Luiz, J.M., 2006, forthcoming, The Political Economy of Institutions, Stability and Investment: a simultaneous equation approach in an emerging economy the case of South Africa. Journal of Development Studies.
  39. Fedderke, J.W., Luiz, J.M., and De Kadt, R.H.J., forthcoming, Using Fractionalization Indexes: deriving methodological principles for growth studies from time series evidence, Social Indicators Research.
  40. Fedderke J.W., and Schirmer, S., forthcoming, Research & Development Performance of the Private Manufacturing Sector. Economic Change and Restructuring.
  41. Fedderke, J.W., and Luiz, J.M., forthcoming, Does Human Generate Social and Institutional Capital? Exploring Evidence from South African Time Series Data, Oxford Economic Papers.

Other Peer Reviewed Publications

  1. Klitgaard, R.E., Fedderke, J.W., and Akramov, K., 2005, Choosing and Using Performance Criteria, in R.E.Kltigaard and P.C. Light (eds.), High Performance Government: Structure, Leadership, Incentives, Santa Monica: Pardee RAND Graduate School, 407-46.
  2. Fedderke, J.W., 2006, From Chimera to Prospect: Toward an Understanding of the South African Growth Absence, Bhorat, H., ed., Poverty and Policy in Post-Apartheid South Africa, HSRC Press.
  3. Fedderke, J.W., and Loewald, C., forthcoming, Inflation and the costs of production: understanding industry structure and pricing behavior in formulating a macroeconomic and monetary policy framework in South Africa, Santa Monica: Pardee RAND Graduate School.
  4. Fedderke, J.W., 2005, South Africa: Sources and Constraints of Long-Term Growth, World Bank Africa Region Working Paper Series Number 94.
  5. Fedderke, J.W., and Szalontai, G., 2005, Industry Concentration in South African Manufacturing: Trends and Consequences, World Bank Africa Region Working Paper Series Number 96.
  6. Bogetić, ., and Fedderke, J.W., 2006, Forecasting Investment Needs in South Africas Electricity and Telecommunications Sectors, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper Number 3829.
  7. Bogetić, ., and Fedderke, J.W., 2006, International Benchmarking of South Africas Infrastructure Performance, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper Number 3830.
  8. Bogetić, ., and Fedderke, J.W., 2006, International Benchmarking of Infrastructure Performance in the Southern African Customs Union Countries, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper Number 3987.
  9. Fedderke, J.W., and Bogetić, ., 2006, Infrastructure and Growth in South Africa: Direct and Indirect Productivity Impacts of 19 Infrastructure Measures, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper Number 3989.
  10. Fedderke, J.W., 2006, Technology, Human Capital and Growth: evidence from a middle income country case study applying dynamic heterogeneous panel analysis, in South African Reserve Bank, Banco de Mexico and The People's Bank of China (eds.) Economic Growth, Proceedings of a G20 seminar held in Pretoria, South Africa, on 4-5 August 2005.

Other Publications

  1. Klitgaard, R.E., and Fedderke, J.W., 1994, What is "Social Integration? An Exploratory Analysis of Cross-Country Data, Commissioned Report to the World Bank, pp 1-120.
  2. Fedderke, Johannes, and Klitgaard, Robert, 1998, Economic Growth and Social Indicators, RAND Reprints, Rand/RP-721, from Economic Development and Cultural Change.
  3. Fedderke, J.W., De Kadt, R.H.J., and Luiz, J., 1999, Unravelling the Education Crisis, Indicator SA, 15(4).
  4. Fedderke, J.W., 2000, Growth & Innovation: perspectives on the interaction between economic growth, science, technology and human capital, National Advisory Council on Innovation, National Science and Technology Forum.
  5. Fedderke, J.W., Henderson, S., Kayemba, J., Mariotti, M., and Vaze, P., 2000, A Descriptive Analysis of Sectoral Investment in South Africa, Trade and Industry Monitor, 15.
  6. Fedderke, J.W., Henderson, S., Kayemba, J., Mariotti, M., and Vaze, P., 2000, The Investment Rate in South Africa: A Decomposition by Economic Sector, Trade and Industry Monitor, 15.
  7. Fedderke, J.W., 2000, An Econometric Analysis of Sectoral Investment in South Africa, Trade and Industry Monitor, 15.
  8. Cassim, R., Fedderke, J.W., and Van Seventer, D.E., 2000, Estimating Investment Functions for South African Manufacturing: some policy recommendations and suggestions for further research, Trade and Industry Monitor, 15.
  9. Aghion, P., Braun, M., and Fedderke, J.W., 2006, Competition and Productivity Growth in South Africa, Center for International Development at Harvard Working Paper No. 132.

Invited Keynote and Plenary Addresses

  • From Uneducating to Educating South Africa: some thoughts on new policy imperatives in education, Kenton Conference on Education, October 1999.
  • Lessons from South African Higher Education, at the Bram Fischer Symposium on Academic Development, by invitation of the University of Oxford, Oxford Brookes University, and the University of Natal, August 2001.
  • Explaining the Growth Absence, Closing Plenary Panel Presentations, Trade and Industry Policy Secretariat Annual Forum, September 2001.
  • Just How Suboptimal is Robert Mugabe? Optimizing Candidates Seeking Elected Office. Presidential Address: African Econometric Society, Stellenbosch, July 2003. [Download]
  • Technology, Human Capital and Growth, invited address presented at the G20 Meeting held in Pretoria, South Africa, 4-5 August 2005.
  • Institutional Dimensions of Current Account Sustainability, invited address presented at the United Nations Development Programme, Economic Commission for Africa Workshop on Current Account Sustainability in Africa, held in Accra, Ghana, 20 22 September 2005.

Research Reports

  • A Case of Polarization Paralysis: The debate surrounding a growth strategy for South Africa, 1997, Centre for Development Studies.
  • Macroeconomic Forecasts of the Demand for Low Density and Linear Low Density Polyethylene Demand, 1997, Genesis Analytics and Polifin.
  • Review of the Role of Central Banks in Development, 1998, South African House of Parliaments Parliamentary Sub-Committee on Finance.
  • Trade Flows: World and Regional Trends and Developments, 1998, South African Revenue Services and Price Waterhouse Cooper.
  • Contagion Effects in the Asian Financial Crisis, 1999, South African Financial Services Board, IOSCO, Genesis Analytics.
  • The Efficiency of the South African Futures Markets, 1999, South African Financial Services Board, Genesis Analytics.
  • The Impact of Trade Liberalization on South African Employment, 1999, South African Department of Finance. The report consisted of three components.
  • The Role of Mining in the South African Macroeconomy, 1970-98, 1999, South African Chamber of Mines.
  • Investment in Fixed Capital Stock: the South African Manufacturing Industry 1970-97, 2000, South African Department of Trade and Industry.
  • Growth and Innovation: examining the interaction between economic growth, employment, human development and science and technology. The international and South African evidence, 2000, National Advisory Council on Innovation, National Science and Technology Forum, South African Department of Arts, Culture, Science and Technology.
  • Forecasting Inflation in South Africa, 2000, South African Department of Finance.
  • Mark-up Pricing in South African Industry, 2001, South African National Treasury. [Download]
  • Wage Elasticities by Skills Level in South African Two Digit Industry Sectors, 2001, South African National Treasury.
  • The Relative Impact of Private and Public Sector Investment on Long Run Economic Output in South Africa, 2001, South African National Treasury.
  • From Chimera to Prospect: Toward an Understanding of the South African Growth Absence, 2003, Report to the World Bank and SA National Treasury. [Download]
  • Fiscal Incentives for Research and Development: Possibilities and Costing, 2003, ESKOM and DACST.
  • Industry Concentration in South African Manufacturing: Trends & Consequences, 1970-1996, Report to the World Bank and SA National Treasury, 2004. [Download]

Current Working Papers

  • Fedderke, J.W., Shin, Y., and Vaze, P., Trade and Labor Usage: An Examination of the South African Manufacturing Industry. [Download]
  • Fedderke, J.W., Technology, Human Capital and Growth: evidence from a middle income country case study applying dynamic heterogeneous panel analysis. [Download]
  • Fedderke J.W., and Simkins, C.E.W., Economic Growth in South Africa since the late nineteenth century. [Download]
  • Fedderke, J.W., and Romm, A., Growth Impact and Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment into South Africa, 1956-2003. Forthcoming Economic Development. [Download]
  • Fedderke, J.W., Perkins. P., and Luiz, J.M., Infrastructural Investment in Long-run Economic Growth: South Africa 1875-2001. Forthcoming World Development. [Download]
  • Fedderke J.W. and Szalontai, G., Industry Concentration in South African Manufacturing: Trends & Consequences, 1970-1996. [Download]
  • Fedderke J.W., Manga, J., and Pirouz F., Challenging Cassandra: Household and Per Capita Household Income Distribution in the October Household Surveys 1995-1999: Income and Expenditure Surveys 1995 & 2000 and the Labour Force Survey 2000. [Download]
  • Fedderke, J.W., and Luiz, J.M., The Political Economy of Institutions, Stability and Investment: a simultaneous equation approach in an emerging economy the case of South Africa. [Download]
  • Fedderke, J.W., Luiz, J.M., and De Kadt, R.H.J., Using Fractionalization Indexes: deriving methodological principles for growth studies from time series evidence. [Download]
  • Fedderke, J.W., and Luiz, J.M., Fractionalization and LongRun Economic Growth: Webs and Direction of Association Between the Economic and the Social - South Africa as a Time Series Case Study. Forthcoming Applied Economics. [Download]
  • Fedderke, J.W., and Luiz, J.M., Does Human generate Social and Institutional Capital? Exploring Evidence from Time Series Data in a Middle Income Country. [Download]
  • Fedderke J.W., Kularatne, C., and Mariotti, M., Mark-up Pricing in South African Industry, forthcoming Journal of African Economies. [Download]
  • Bogetić, ., and Fedderke, J.W., International Benchmarking of South Africa's Infrastructure Performance, Forthcoming Journal of Development Perspectives. [Download]
  • Bogetić, ., and Fedderke, J.W., Forecasting Infrastructure Needs in South Africas Electricity and Telecom Sectors. [Download]
  • Fedderke, J.W., Klitgaard, R.E., and Akramov, K., How Rights Matter. [Download]

Johannes Fedderke

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