Demography Seminar: Stephen Kramer (01/08/2008)

The second demography seminar of this semester, titled Error and bias in the orphanhood method of estimating adult mortality will be presented by Stephen Kramer (Masters student at UCT; Swiss-Re, London) on Friday 1 August at 12.45 for 1pm - 2pm in Leslie Commerce 2A (aka the Nedbank Room)

All welcome. Please distribute to any colleagues you feel may be interested

An abstract of the seminar is given below:

The orphanhood method of estimating mortality may be inaccurate if HIV is present in a population. Bias will be present, mainly due to the effects of HIV on fertility and due to correlations between the mortality of mothers and children. In addition, using standard model life tables is likely to lead to further error. These biases and errors will be examined in the seminar.

• Full Seminar Notice - Click here (.DOC) (90.5 KB) (28/07/2008)

For more information you can contact:

ZERINA MATTHEWS
CENTRE FOR ACTUARIAL RESEARCH
ROOM 333.1
PD HAHN BUILDING
UPPER CAMPUS
TEL: 021 650 5475
FAX: 021 650 5937